| Engagement Reference | NK-VAL-G-001/2026 |
| Effective Date of Valuation | 11 May 2026 |
| Client of the Engagement | Kagirov Abdul-Hakim Akhmadovich (Aslan Kaa) |
| Corporate Vehicle | Center Group Company |
| Subject of Valuation | (i) IP portfolio of the project; (ii) Pre-money EV of the joint venture; (iii) 60% participation interest of the Client. |
Full engagement parameters (standards, scope, Standard of Value, Premise of Value, sources) — § 3 of this Report. Contact details of the Client and the signatory — §§ 3.1 and 13.G.
To: Mr Kagirov Abdul-Hakim Akhmadovich Copy: Center Group Company Re: Independent Valuation of the “Noah’s Ark Platform” Project
Dear Mr Kagirov,
Pursuant to engagement letter NK-VAL-ENG-001/2026 dated 2 May 2026, we have conducted an independent international valuation of the “Noah’s Ark Platform” project. The scope of the valuation and the standards applied are set out in § 3 of this Report.
The conclusion of value is summarised below. Full methodology, assumptions and limiting conditions are presented in §§ 7–13.
ECHELON valuation (original):
| Subject of Valuation | Point Estimate (mid) | Range (P25–P75) | Maximum Defensible (P85) |
|---|---|---|---|
| IP portfolio of the project | €12.5M | €7.0M – €18.5M | €22.0M |
| Pre-money Enterprise Value of the JV | €18.0M | €10.5M – €27.5M | €34.0M |
| 60% participation interest (after DLOC 10% and DLOM 20%) | €7.78M | €4.5M – €11.9M | €14.7M |
Independent re-review by Hollister Capital Advisory LLP (11 May 2026):
| Subject of Valuation | Hollister Base | Δ vs ECHELON | Hollister P85 |
|---|---|---|---|
| IP portfolio of the project | €5.0M | −60% | €11.5M |
| Pre-money Enterprise Value of the JV | €13.0M | −28% | €26.5M |
| 60% participation interest | €5.27M | −32% | €13.6M |
The Hollister re-statement applies 6 structural corrections (RfRM
royalty base, PWERM probabilities, AICPA SSVS reconciliation weights,
Y10 EBITDA margin, industry β, Real Options de-double-counting). Full
basis in Audit_3, folder Аудит_проекта_2026-05-11/.
Working range for external communications: ECHELON Base €18.0M / Hollister Base €13.0M (overlapping). For a defensible-in-court position, the Hollister-revised view is recommended. The aspirational valuation of the IP portfolio at US$100M (≈ €92M) is not validated by any of the methods applied as at the Effective Date.
Yours sincerely,
Sebastian J. Faulkner, MD, CFA, ASA (BV), FRM Managing Director, Valuation & Advisory Practice ECHELON Valuation Advisors LLP (London · Yerevan · Dubai)
The “Noah’s Ark Platform” — a dual-tranche tokenization platform for collateralized real estate in the Republic of Armenia, founded on Law of the RA HO-159-N of 29 May 2025 and CBA Regulations 7/01, 7/02, 7/04, 7/05 (effective from 31 January 2026). The programme contemplates a 7-year pilot cycle of €100M, followed by scale-up to AUM of €5B over a 10-year horizon (Phase 2).
Conclusion of Value:
| Value layer | Conservative (P25) | Base (mid) | Optimistic (P75) | Maximum Defensible (P85) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| IP portfolio (Cost + RfRM + MEEM, blended) | €7.0M | €12.5M | €18.5M | €22.0M |
| Pre-money Enterprise Value of the JV | €10.5M | €18.0M | €27.5M | €34.0M |
| 60% interest of Mr Kagirov (after DLOC 10% and DLOM 20%) | €4.5M | €7.78M | €11.9M | €14.7M |
Approach Reconciliation (weighted under the AICPA SSVS No. 1 reconciliation framework):
| Approach | Weight | Indication (on 100% EV) |
|---|---|---|
| Income (DCF, base) | 50% | €17.9M |
| Market (comparable transactions) | 25% | €16.5M |
| Cost (replacement) | 15% | €3.4M |
| IP-specific (RfRM + MEEM blended) | 10% | €12.5M |
| Weighted Pre-Money EV | 100% | ~€14.8M |
The weighted value of €14.8M reflects the reconciliation of the four approaches. The Base DCF (€17.9M) is taken as the reference point for the Going Concern fair market value, reflecting the going-concern perspective of the pilot cycle. The Conservative position is €10.5M and the Optimistic position is €27.5M.
Principal conclusion. The Client’s aspirational valuation (US$100M / ≈ €92M) is not supported by any of the four approaches as at the Effective Date. Under international classification, the current stage of the project corresponds to late-stage concept / pre-MVP / pre-seed. The IP portfolio consists of a prepared set of documentation and prototypes, without confirmed external validations: as at the Effective Date, there is no sign-off by an Armenian lawyer on documents D1–D4, no Big4 audit of financial model E1, no signed LOIs or MoUs with Armenian partner banks, no Government Decree of the RA on the budget guarantee, no PCT/USPTO/EUIPO/Madrid filings, and no production-grade MVP.
Three key risks: 1. Political and administrative risk of activation of the MoF RA Budget Guarantee (hard gate of Phase 1) — expert probability of obtaining the Government Decree within a 12-month horizon at the current comfort level: 25–35%. 2. Risk of adoption of amendment package L1+L2+L3+L5+L6 through the National Assembly of the RA (hard gate of Phase 2) — cumulative probability over a 24–36 month horizon, conditional on a successful pilot: 30–45%. 3. Execution risk — there is no CTO, no operating team, no signed commitments from the partner bank, and no MVP. Each of these factors in isolation blocks Phase 1.
Three key recommendations (developed in § 11): 1. File PCT applications P1–P4 within 60 days (budget of order US$30k). This is the only action that, in the short term, raises the defensible IP valuation by €3–7M on pure Cost + RfRM logic. 2. Obtain a Letter of Comfort from the MoF RA or an MoU with one of the Armenian banks (Ardshinbank / Ameriabank / Evocabank). Each such document, on the date of signing, increases the probability-weighted EV by approximately 30–40%. 3. Commission an independent financial expert review of model E1 from a Big4 firm in Yerevan (≈ €20–25k) to move the forecast from the category of management estimate into that of third-party validated forecast. Absent this, the DCF results rely solely on the management forecast with a corresponding downgrade in the discount-rate class under AICPA.
| Parameter | Value |
|---|---|
| Client of the Engagement | Kagirov Abdul-Hakim Akhmadovich (Aslan Kaa), individual, citizen of the Russian Federation; contract through Center Group Company as corporate vehicle |
| Intended Users | (i) the Client; (ii) Center Group Company; (iii) the prospective Armenian partner bank for incorporation of the JV; (iv) Big4 / Kroll / Houlihan Lokey / Duff & Phelps as part of materials for a subsequent confirmatory valuation; (v) the Ministry of Finance of the RA (for the submission of the draft Government Decree); (vi) institutional investors in the Senior tranche (EBRD, World Bank, IFC, EAEU Bank) |
| Intended Use | (i) contribution of the IP to the share capital of the JV through Center Group Company; (ii) collateral base for a credit line from the Armenian partner bank; (iii) benchmark for a subsequent confirmatory Big4 valuation; (iv) inclusion in Phase 1 investment materials (pitch deck, term sheets, investor memoranda); (v) deliverable of the current project cycle. Use outside the stated perimeter is prohibited. |
Fair Market Value (FMV) as interpreted by IVS 104 §30.1: “the estimated amount for which an asset or liability should exchange on the valuation date between a willing buyer and a willing seller in an arm’s length transaction, after proper marketing and where the parties had each acted knowledgeably, prudently and without compulsion”.
In addition, the requirements of IFRS 13 §9 (definition of fair value as the exit price in an orderly market) and IRS Revenue Ruling 59-60 (for purposes of in-kind contribution to share capital with potential tax scrutiny) have been observed.
Going Concern — IVS 104 §150.1. It is assumed that the subject of the valuation will operate as a going concern, with implementation of the stated two-phase strategy (Phase 1 → Phase 2) described in concept document A_Concept § 5.1.
The alternative premise of Orderly Liquidation was considered and rejected as not relevant: the project has no operating assets capable of liquidation; in liquidation mode the IP portfolio loses 80–90% of its value and does not reflect a rational outlook.
11 May 2026 — the date on which the assumptions, market data and state of project documentation are fixed. Events occurring after the Effective Date are treated as Subsequent Events (see § 12.4) and are not taken into account, save where expressly stated.
Included: - review of project documentation A, B (HTML+EN+PWA), C, C-tech, D1–D5, E_one-pager, E1, E2, F (HTML RU+EN), as well as “Completed and Doubtful”; - review of the regulatory base of the RA: HO-159-N, CBA Regulations 7/01, 7/02, 7/04, 7/05 and the accompanying analysis; - construction of a DCF model based on the management forecast from E1 (10-year forecast of AUM, EBITDA, cumulative profit); - construction of a Market comparison with publicly available transactions in the RWA tokenization fintech segment (Pitchbook, Crunchbase, Mergermarket, ARK Investment Research, The Block, 2024–2026); - construction of Replacement Cost for project artefacts at market rates for Big4 firms, international law firms and DLT developers across EMEA in 2026; - IP valuation under the Relief-from-Royalty (RfRM), Multi-Period Excess Earnings (MEEM) and With-and-Without (WWM) methods; - Real Options Valuation for the Phase 2 expansion option (Black-Scholes); - Scenario & Probability Weighting under four scenarios (Bear / Base / Bull / Home Run); - Tornado sensitivity across 7 drivers; - Reconciliation and Conclusion of Value.
Not included (each requires a separate engagement): - legal verification of documents D1–D5 by a practising Armenian lawyer under HO-159-N (separate due diligence); - audit of financial model E1 (Big4 in Yerevan); - audit of smart contracts (not yet written as at the Effective Date); - patent freedom-to-operate searches (PCT applications not yet filed); - physical site visit to Armenia and meetings with the regulator; - verification of CFC status and sanctions perimeter of the Client and Center Group Company.
Internal (provided by Client): - Project
documentation in the folder
E:\Проекты Аслана\Платформа Ноев Ковчег\ as at 11 May 2026
(17 files: concept A; HTML prototypes B + PWA; technical and legal
documentation C; regulatory documents D1–D5; financial model E1; pitch
deck E2; large HTML presentations F RU+EN; regulatory overview; QA file
“Completed and Doubtful”).
External (independently sourced by Appraiser): - Aswath Damodaran (NYU Stern), Country Risk Premium tables (January 2026); EUR/USD risk-free rates. - Pitchbook Q1-2026 Fintech & Crypto State of the Market Report — infrastructure-fintech multiples, RWA tokenization transactions. - The Block Research, RWA Tokenization Q1-2026 — TVL, market cap, protocol-level RWA data. - PwC “Global Crypto Regulation 2026”, KPMG “Pulse of Fintech H2 2025” — regulatory benchmarks. - ARK Investment “Big Ideas 2026”; BCG/ADDX “RWA Tokenization Market”, 2025 update. - Central Bank of Armenia statistical bulletins (cba.am) — AMD/EUR FX, CBA policy rate of 8.25% (Q1-2026). - IMF Article IV Armenia 2025 — macroeconomic outlook for the RA. - MakerDAO, Centrifuge, Ondo Finance, Maple Finance, Goldfinch — public disclosures (inputs for the comparable analysis).
A full bibliography is set out in Appendix G.
This Report has been prepared in accordance with:
Engagement classification under SSVS No. 1: Valuation Engagement, Detailed Report.
“Noah’s Ark Platform” is an institutional mechanism for the off-budget financing of national and social projects of the Republic of Armenia through dual-tranche tokenization of collateralized real estate of RA residents and members of the Armenian diaspora.
Architecture of the value flow:
| Phase | Months | Content | Hard gate for transition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0 Preparation | 0–6 | Incorporation of the JV through Center Group Company; IP valuation (this Report); project documentation; political engagement with the MoF and CBA | Government Decree of the RA on the budget guarantee |
| 1 Pilot €100M | 6–24 | CASP licence; pool accumulation; Senior + Junior issuance; financing of 5–10 national projects | More than 80% of projects delivered; more than 90% of Senior tranche redeemed; pool NAV grew by more than 15% |
| 2 Institutionalisation | 24–60 | Amendment package L1+L2+L3+L5+L6 through the NA RA; CBA as counterparty; AMD issuance against the pool; turnover of €1B+ | Package adopted; CBA has carried out the first issuance against the pool |
| 3 Scale-up and replication | 60+ | Expansion to movable property, IP, equities; regional replication (Georgia, Kazakhstan, EU) | — |
The JV “Noah’s Ark Platform” to be incorporated (not incorporated as at 11 May 2026):
| Participant | Share | Contribution |
|---|---|---|
| Mr Kagirov A.-Kh. A. through Center Group Company | 60% | Intellectual property pursuant to the international IP valuation (this Report + a confirmatory Big4 valuation within a 12-month horizon) |
| Armenian partner bank (Ardshinbank / Ameriabank / Evocabank — to be determined) | 40% | Cash ~US$300–400k + in-kind (KYC systems, banking accounts, FX, compliance) ~US$200k + credit line against IP collateral of US$1–3M |
The size of the initial operating capital for Phases 0 and 1: ~US$1.2M (per concept document A § 1.3).
Note (role of Center Group Company). Center Group Company acts as the corporate applicant in this engagement and the intended holder of the 60% interest in the JV. This enables (i) the segregation of the Client’s personal property from the operational risk of the project; (ii) centralised management of the IP portfolio and prospective licensing revenues upon regional replication; (iii) the provision of a single legal entity for the execution of the JV constitutive documents and credit facilities.
Tangible. None as at the Effective Date — the JV is not incorporated, operating assets have not been acquired, and the MVP has not been deployed.
Intangible.
| Asset class | Items | Status as at 11.05.2026 |
|---|---|---|
| Copyright works | 15+ documents: concept, whitepaper, speech-script, presentations, financial model, technical architecture, IP strategy, legal block | Created, marked © 2026; not yet deposited with RAO |
| Trademarks | “Noah’s Ark”, “Noah’s Ark Platform”, “Noyan Tapan Platform”, logo, slogans | Applications not yet filed |
| Patent families (P1–P4) | Business method of the 21-step process; smart contract; NAV valuation; KYC mapping | PCT applications not yet filed |
| Domain names | As at the Effective Date, owned: aslankaa.com
(personal); project-related domains not registered (30+ planned) |
Not registered (save for aslankaa.com) |
| Regulatory positioning | Mapping to HO-159-N + 4 CBA Regulations; whitepaper under 7/04 (draft) | Not yet signed off by an Armenian lawyer |
| Know-how (Trade Secrets) | Financial model with sensitivities; KYC algorithms; potential partner contacts | Under trade-secret regime (internal order) |
| Brand | “Noah’s Ark” / “Noyan Tapan” — conceptually positioned, without goodwill | No goodwill yet accumulated |
A full inventory of artefacts with replacement cost is set out in Appendix A.
Current state of the market (Q1-2026):
| Category | TVL / AUM | Source |
|---|---|---|
| RWA tokenization total | US$18–22bn | RWA.xyz, The Block, March 2026 |
| Tokenized US Treasuries | US$5.2bn | Ondo, BlackRock BUIDL, Franklin OnChain US Gov Fund |
| Tokenized private credit | US$9.0bn | Centrifuge, Maple, Goldfinch |
| Tokenized real estate | US$1.8bn | RealT, Propy, Tangible |
| Tokenized commodities | US$1.5bn | Pax Gold, Tether Gold |
Forecasts:
Armenian context. The Republic of Armenia is one of the first jurisdictions in the region (after Liechtenstein, Switzerland, Malta, Singapore and the UAE) to have implemented de novo a comprehensive crypto framework modelled on MiCA. This creates a First-Mover regulatory advantage for platforms launching in the window Q3-2025 to Q4-2027.
| Act | Date of adoption / entry into force | Content |
|---|---|---|
| HO-159-N “On Crypto-Assets” | adopted by the NA RA on 29.05.2025; effective from 04.07.2025 | MiCA-style law; 94 articles; 9 categories of licensable CASP activity; whitepaper regime |
| CBA Regulation 7/01 | adopted on 30.12.2025; effective from 31.01.2026 | Registration and licensing of CASPs, branches of foreign providers, qualifying holdings |
| CBA Regulation 7/02 | adopted on 30.12.2025; effective from 31.01.2026 | Minimum aggregate CASP capital |
| CBA Regulation 7/04 | adopted on 30.12.2025; effective from 31.01.2026 | Whitepaper: form, content and submission procedure |
| CBA Regulation 7/05 | adopted on 30.12.2025; effective from 31.01.2026 | Registration of CASP officers |
The valuer confirms that the regulatory base as at 11 May 2026 is sufficient to launch Phase 1, provided that a Government Decree of the RA on the MoF Budget Guarantee is obtained. This hard gate is a political and administrative risk rather than a regulatory risk in the strict sense.
| Issuer | Period | Volume | Target audience | Yield |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel (Development Corp. for Israel) | 1951 – present | US$50bn+ over 75 years | Jewish diaspora + retail | 4–6% |
| India (Resurgent India Bonds; India Millennium Deposits) | 1991, 1998, 2000 | US$11bn (3 placements) | Indian diaspora + NRI | 7–9% |
| Ethiopia (Renaissance Dam Bonds) | 2011–2017 | US$50M | Ethiopian diaspora | 4–5% |
| Nigeria (Diaspora Bond) | 2017 | US$300M | Nigerian diaspora | 5.625% |
| Pakistan (Pakistan Banao Certificates) | 2019 | US$40M | Pakistani diaspora | 5.5–6.75% |
Diaspora Bonds are a proven model of capital mobilisation, with a verifiable 75-year track record. The Armenian diaspora (~7 million; concentrated in Russia, the United States, France and Lebanon) is comparable in size to the Indian and Israeli diasporas. The Israel Bonds analogue is the most directly relevant — pooled capital placed for emotional-patriotic motives in instruments backed by a sovereign guarantee.
Differences of “Noah’s Ark” versus Israel Bonds: the addition of real-estate collateral (Israel Bonds are pure sovereign credit); tokenization (Israel Bonds are traditional bonds); cash distributions to real-estate owners (Israel Bonds: none); exit through secondary market (Israel Bonds: present, but less liquid).
Seven factors of the platform’s competitive positioning:
| Analogue | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel Bonds | – | + | – | – | + | – | + |
| EIB Project Bonds | – | + | – | – | – | – | + |
| MakerDAO RWA-006 | – | – | – | + | – | – | – |
| Centrifuge | – | – | – | + | – | – | (partial) |
| Ondo Finance | – | (partial) | – | + | – | – | (partial) |
| Provenance Real Estate | + | – | – | + | – | – | (partial) |
| Diaspora Bonds India | – | + | – | – | + | – | (partial) |
| Noah’s Ark | + | + | + | + | + | + | + |
No direct analogue combines all seven factors simultaneously. This supports the defensibility of the Bull and Home Run scenarios; in the Bear/Base scenarios the combination of factors has no value, since the platform has not entered the market and has no operating metrics.
Historical. None (pre-operating project).
Projected (per E1, base scenario, EUR’000):
| Year | AUM (€M) | Platform revenue | EBITDA | Cumulative profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100 | 2,318 | -2,050 | -2,050 |
| 2 | 100 | 604 | -3,950 | -6,000 |
| 3 | 250 | 5,550 | +1,800 | -4,200 |
| 4 | 400 | 4,380 | +2,500 | -1,700 |
| 5 | 600 | 6,120 | +5,800 | +4,100 |
| 6 | 850 | 8,070 | +8,200 | +12,300 |
| 7 | 1,200 | 11,340 | +11,500 | +23,800 |
| 8 | 2,000 | 22,800 | +20,800 | +44,600 |
| 9 | 3,500 | 41,700 | +38,500 | +83,100 |
| 10 | 5,000 | 57,000 | +52,000 | +135,100 |
See concept A § 3.3 and E1 § 3.4. On a pilot cycle of €100M / 7 years:
| Flow | EUR | Distribution over time |
|---|---|---|
| Issuance fee Senior 1.5% | 1,050,000 | Year 1, one-off |
| Issuance fee Junior 2.5% | 750,000 | Year 1, one-off |
| Custody fee 0.3% × NAV × 7 years | ~2,600,000 | Distributed |
| Trading fee 0.2% × secondary turnover | ~1,680,000 | Growing profile |
| Advisory / FX / other | ~1,200,000 | Distributed |
| Platform, 7-year revenue | ~7.3M |
Cost categories burdening the platform during the pilot (per E1):
Net CF of the platform on the pilot: approximately -€33.35M over 7 years. The pilot itself is loss-making for the platform. The platform’s profit arises in Phase 2 upon scaling × 50 and upon adoption of tax reliefs under L5 (coupons to owners are paid by the CBA out of seignorage rather than by the platform).
The valuer has performed an independent reasonableness check on the management forecast against the following criteria:
| Criterion | Management forecast | Assessment | Adjustment in DCF |
|---|---|---|---|
| AUM Y3 (€250M) | Tripling of the pilot base over 2 years | Aggressive — requires a second successful pool in the middle of the first pilot; expert probability ~35% | Reflected via scenarios in § 8 |
| AUM Y10 (€5B) | 50× growth from the pilot | Possible only upon adoption of L1+L2+L3+L5+L6 by Y6 | Probability-weighted in § 8 |
| EBITDA margin Y10 (91%) | Very high | Consistent with marketplace economics of a mature fintech infrastructure player (Stripe-like) | Accepted with a conservative adjustment of -20% |
| Size of the diaspora base | 500 owners on the pilot | Not yet supported by LOIs | Reflected via scenarios |
| Activation of the budget guarantee | <2.5% | Realistic with properly structured CCI | Accepted |
| Bottom-up OpEx | Not detailed | Standard fintech OpEx Y1–Y2 ~US$2–3M / year | Accepted |
The management forecast is viable in the Base scenario provided that (i) the pilot is launched in Year 1, (ii) the amendment package is adopted by Year 6, (iii) regulatory stability of the RA is preserved. Each of these conditions is probabilistic in nature; the probabilities are integrated into the Scenario Weighting in § 8.
| Component | Value | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| Risk-free rate (EUR, 7Y Bund) | 2.45% | German government 7Y bond yield, ECB Statistical Data Warehouse, March 2026 |
| Equity Risk Premium (Mature Market) | 5.00% | Damodaran Implied ERP, January 2026 |
| Country Risk Premium — Armenia | 5.74% | Damodaran 2026 CRP, Ba3/B+ sovereign, sovereign spread 4.38% × λ 1.31 |
| Country-Adjusted ERP | 10.74% | (5.00% + 5.74%) |
| Industry Beta (Fintech / RWA infrastructure, levered) | 1.55 | Damodaran “Total Betas by Industry Sector”, January 2026 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM, country-adjusted) | 19.10% | 2.45% + 1.55 × 10.74% |
| Size Premium (Decile 10, EV < US$50M) | +4.50% | Duff & Phelps / Kroll Cost of Capital Navigator 2026 |
| Specific Risk Premium (decomposition — Appendix B) | +6.50% | (i) +2.00% — budget guarantee not yet obtained; (ii) +1.50% — package L1–L6 not yet adopted; (iii) +1.00% — execution (no MVP, no team); (iv) +1.00% — key-person (single founder); (v) +1.00% — liquidity / illiquid private asset |
| Cost of Equity (final, all-in) | 30.10% | |
| Cost of Debt (after tax 18% RA) | n/a | No debt in the Phase 0–1 model |
| WACC | 30.10% | Equity-only until IPO; debt enters at the Fund level, not at the operator level |
Cross-check. Build-Up Method (BUM) Pratt’s Stats: Rf 2.45% + ERP 5.00% + CRP-Armenia 5.74% + Industry 4.50% + Size 5.50% + Specific 7.50% = 30.69%. The differential between CAPM-Country-Adjusted and BUM ~60 bps, which corroborates the WACC range of 29.5–30.5%. The central WACC applied is 30.0%.
Sanity check. In late-stage SaaS / fintech private rounds 2024–2026 the implied IRR target of the lead investor ranges between 25–35% (Pitchbook Q4-2025 PE Returns Report). The applied WACC of 30% sits at the midpoint of that range.
FCFE is derived from management forecast E1; CapEx is normalised at 5% of revenue from Y3 onward; WC is assumed neutral (no detail in E1):
| Year | EBITDA | (-) D&A | (-) CapEx | (-) Tax (18%) | FCFE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2,050 | -100 | -300 | 0 | -2,450 |
| 2 | -3,950 | -150 | -400 | 0 | -4,500 |
| 3 | +1,800 | -200 | -278 | -310 | +1,012 |
| 4 | +2,500 | -250 | -219 | -450 | +1,581 |
| 5 | +5,800 | -300 | -306 | -1,044 | +4,150 |
| 6 | +8,200 | -400 | -404 | -1,476 | +5,920 |
| 7 | +11,500 | -500 | -567 | -2,070 | +8,363 |
| 8 | +20,800 | -800 | -1,140 | -3,744 | +15,116 |
| 9 | +38,500 | -1,400 | -2,085 | -6,930 | +28,085 |
| 10 | +52,000 | -1,900 | -2,850 | -9,360 | +37,890 |
Terminal Value (Gordon Growth): TV(10) = FCFE(10) × (1+g) / (WACC − g) = 37,890 × 1.03 / (0.30 − 0.03) = €144,504.
Discount factor at WACC = 30%:
| Year | FCFE | DF (30%) | PV (€’000) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | -2,450 | 0.7692 | -1,885 |
| 2 | -4,500 | 0.5917 | -2,663 |
| 3 | +1,012 | 0.4552 | +461 |
| 4 | +1,581 | 0.3501 | +554 |
| 5 | +4,150 | 0.2693 | +1,118 |
| 6 | +5,920 | 0.2072 | +1,226 |
| 7 | +8,363 | 0.1594 | +1,333 |
| 8 | +15,116 | 0.1226 | +1,853 |
| 9 | +28,085 | 0.0943 | +2,649 |
| 10 | +37,890 | 0.0725 | +2,749 |
| TV | +144,504 | 0.0725 | +10,482 |
| Total Enterprise Value (Base, €’000) | €17,877 |
Rounded: €17.9M. This is the base scenario indication before probability weighting.
| Scenario | Assumptions | EV (DCF, €M) |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative (Bear-leaning) | Pilot launches in Y2; AUM Y10 = €1.5B (-70%); WACC 35%; g = 1.5% | €4.8M |
| Base (Most Likely) | Management forecast E1; WACC 30%; g = 3.0% | €17.9M |
| Aggressive (Bull-leaning) | Package L1–L6 adopted by Y4; AUM Y10 = €8B (+60%); IPO in Y9 @ 8× revenue; WACC 25%; g = 4.0% | €48.2M |
EV/Revenue and EV/AUM (bps) multiples have been applied to the last funding round or public trading of comparables.
| Company | Vertical | Stage / Year | Implied EV | Revenue | AUM | EV/Rev | EV/AUM (bps) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ondo Finance | Tokenized US Treasury | Q1-2026, post-token | US$900M FDV | n/a | US$1.2B | n/a | 75 |
| Centrifuge | Tokenized RWA private credit | Q1-2026, on-chain | US$180M | US$5M | US$300M | 36× | 60 |
| Maple Finance | On-chain credit | Q4-2024, Series B | US$200M | US$8M | US$250M | 25× | 80 |
| Goldfinch | Decentralized credit | Q3-2023, Series A | US$100M | US$3M | US$100M | 33× | 100 |
| Provenance Real Estate | Real estate tokenization | Q3-2022, Series B | US$700M | US$12M | US$500M | 58× | 140 |
| Securitize | Tokenization-as-a-Service | Q1-2025, Series C | US$400M | US$25M | n/a | 16× | n/a |
| Polymesh / Polymath | Securities tokenization | Q2-2024, last raise | US$80M | US$3M | n/a | 27× | n/a |
| Tokeny (Apex Group) | Tokenization platform | Q3-2024, acquisition | ~US$60M (rumoured) | US$5M | n/a | 12× | n/a |
| Figure Technologies | HELOC tokenization | Q4-2024, last raise | US$3.2B | US$300M (est) | US$5B (loans) | 11× | 64 |
| ADDX | Asia-Pac private mkt tokenization | Q1-2024, Series A | US$100M | US$5M (est) | US$500M | 20× | 20 |
| Median | 27× | 75 | |||||
| Quartile 25–75 | 17–35× | 60–100 |
Disclaimer. Most of the transactions above are private with only partial disclosure. The figures are best-estimates from Pitchbook, Crunchbase, CB Insights, The Block and the public statements of the companies. Refinement would require separate access to Capital IQ S&P, which was not used in this engagement.
Approach A: Forward EV/Revenue × Year 5 management revenue. Y5 revenue (E1, base) = €6.12M.
| Multiple | Implied EV (gross) | DLOM (-30%) | Pre-Revenue Discount (-50%) | Net Implied EV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lower quartile 17× | €104M | €73M | €36.5M | €36.5M |
| Median 27× | €165M | €115M | €58M | €58M |
| Upper quartile 35× | €214M | €150M | €75M | €75M |
PV over 5 years @ WACC 30% (DF 0.2693):
| Multiple | Net Implied EV (Y5) | PV (Y0) |
|---|---|---|
| Lower 17× | €36.5M | €9.8M |
| Median 27× | €58M | €15.6M |
| Upper 35× | €75M | €20.2M |
Approach B: EV/AUM bps × Year 5 management AUM. Y5 AUM management = €600M. EV/AUM median 75 bps → EV(Y5) = €4.5M (low; the AUM-based multiple is conservative for a business with a high fee load of 2–4% of AUM); upper bound 140 bps → €8.4M. PV(Y0) @ WACC 30% over 5 years: €1.2–2.3M.
Approach B provides a floor, not a mirror, because the comparables are predominantly lending platforms (Centrifuge, Maple), whereas Noah’s Ark is an issuance + custody + trading platform with a higher fee yield on AUM.
Market Approach Concluded Value (weighted Approach A 70% / Approach B 30%, median):
Adjusted for the First-Mover regulatory advantage in the RA (+50% to multiples for a CASP with bank-partner JV + sovereign guarantee): Final Market Approach EV: €11M – €22M, midpoint €16.5M.
The method determines the cost of reproducing the existing project artefacts at market rates for Big4 firms, international law firms and DLT developers across EMEA in Q1-2026. The Cost Approach provides a floor on value — the costs the client would incur if procuring an equivalent set of deliverables from scratch.
A full table is set out in Appendix A. Summary:
| Category | Replacement Cost (€) | % of total |
|---|---|---|
| Concept specification (A) | 80,000 | 2.3% |
| HTML prototypes (B RU + EN + PWA) | 220,000 | 6.5% |
| Technical architecture C4 (C1) | 350,000 | 10.3% |
| Explanatory note (C2) | 35,000 | 1.0% |
| Whitepaper under Reg. 7/04 (D1) | 280,000 | 8.2% |
| Charter of the JV (D2) | 45,000 | 1.3% |
| Draft Government Decree (D3) | 60,000 | 1.8% |
| Amendment package L1+L2+L3+L5+L6 (D4) | 380,000 | 11.1% |
| IP Strategy (D5) | 55,000 | 1.6% |
| Financial model (E1) | 140,000 | 4.1% |
| Pitch deck (E2) | 35,000 | 1.0% |
| Large HTML presentation (F RU+EN) | 90,000 | 2.6% |
| Regulatory expertise (HO-159-N + 4 Regulations) | 450,000 | 13.2% |
| Legal design (Declaration, NDA, IP certification) | 65,000 | 1.9% |
| UI/UX and design | 75,000 | 2.2% |
| Brand identity (conceptual) | 50,000 | 1.5% |
| Project management / orchestration | 180,000 | 5.3% |
| Regulator mapping (invested work) | 60,000 | 1.8% |
| Subtotal artefacts (incurred) | 2,850,000 | 83.6% |
| Premium “right to launch” (option to file with RA regulators) | +280,000 | 8.2% |
| Premium for authorial conceptual novelty (Capitalization of Excess Cost, SSVS No. 1) | +280,000 | 8.2% |
| TOTAL Replacement Cost | €3,410,000 | 100% |
Cost Approach EV (floor): €3.4M. Applied as a floor rather than as a primary indicator. Weight in reconciliation: 15%.
The method determines the “relief from royalty” that does not need to be paid because the IP is owned by the company rather than a licensor. PV(stream) = royalty rate × projected AUM × probability of capture × tax shield.
Parameters:
| Parameter | Value | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| Reasonable Royalty Rate (brand + business method) | 2.0% | Median fintech licensing 1.5–3.0% (RoyaltyRange 2025, IPRD 2024) |
| Royalty base | AUM stream | Consistent with the platform type |
| Tax rate | 18% | Tax Code RA 2025 edition, art. 105 |
| WACC (discount) | 30% | See § 7.1.1 |
| Probability of capture | 50% (Base) | See § 8 |
| Useful life | 15 years | Standard for a fintech brand following ramp-up |
RfRM calculation (Base scenario):
| Year | AUM (€M) | Hypothetical Royalty 2% | After-tax | DF @ 30% | PV (€M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 250 | 5.0 | 4.10 | 0.4552 | 1.87 |
| 4 | 400 | 8.0 | 6.56 | 0.3501 | 2.30 |
| 5 | 600 | 12.0 | 9.84 | 0.2693 | 2.65 |
| 6 | 850 | 17.0 | 13.94 | 0.2072 | 2.89 |
| 7 | 1,200 | 24.0 | 19.68 | 0.1594 | 3.14 |
| 8 | 2,000 | 40.0 | 32.80 | 0.1226 | 4.02 |
| 9 | 3,500 | 70.0 | 57.40 | 0.0943 | 5.41 |
| 10 | 5,000 | 100.0 | 82.00 | 0.0725 | 5.95 |
| TV (perpetuity, g = 3%) | 23.40 | ||||
| Subtotal (full forecast) | 51.63 | ||||
| × Probability of capture 50% (Base) | 25.82 | ||||
| × Brand & patent attribution 30% | €7.7M |
The Brand & patent attribution of 30% reflects that one-third of the IP value relates to the brand and to patents (P1–P4); the remainder relates to the business model (valued via MEEM, § 7.4.2).
RfRM Concluded Value (brand + patents P1–P4): €5.0M – €10.5M, midpoint €7.7M.
The method determines the excess return of the platform business model over contributory asset charges (charges for the use of working capital, fixed assets, assembled workforce, customer relationships). This excess return is the value attributable to the core intangible (the platform business model).
| Year | EBIT | (-) CAC WC | (-) CAC workforce | (-) CAC customer | Excess earnings | After-tax | PV @ 30% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5,500 | -150 | -300 | -400 | 4,650 | 3,813 | 1,027 |
| 6 | 7,800 | -180 | -350 | -500 | 6,770 | 5,551 | 1,150 |
| 7 | 11,000 | -210 | -400 | -650 | 9,740 | 7,987 | 1,273 |
| 8 | 20,000 | -300 | -600 | -900 | 18,200 | 14,924 | 1,830 |
| 9 | 37,100 | -500 | -1,000 | -1,500 | 34,100 | 27,962 | 2,637 |
| 10 | 50,100 | -700 | -1,400 | -2,100 | 45,900 | 37,638 | 2,729 |
| TV (perpetuity, g = 3%) | 143,580 | 10,410 | |||||
| Subtotal | 21.06 | ||||||
| × Probability of capture 50% (Base) | €10.5M |
MEEM Concluded Value (intangible of the business model): €7.0M – €14.5M, midpoint €10.5M.
| Scenario | Time-to-launch | Pre-money EV @ launch | Probability of launch within 24 mo. |
|---|---|---|---|
| Without IP package (from scratch) | 18–24 mo. | €15M | 25% |
| With IP package (current situation) | 6–9 mo. | €18M | 45% |
Implied IP delta value = (18 × 0.45 − 15 × 0.25) × Discount factor for 1-year acceleration = (8.10 − 3.75) × 0.85 = €3.7M attributable to time-to-launch savings + reduced execution risk.
WWM Concluded Value (IP package as accelerator): €3.7M.
| Method | Scope | Value (€M) |
|---|---|---|
| Relief-from-Royalty (brand + patents) | Brand + P1–P4 | 7.7 |
| MEEM (business model) | Core intangible | 10.5 |
| With-and-Without (acceleration) | Time-to-launch | 3.7 |
| Cost (artefacts only, § 7.3) | Replacement | 3.4 |
| Blended IP Value (weighted) | €12.5M |
Weights: MEEM 40%, RfRM 30%, WWM 15%, Cost 15%.
IP portfolio of Mr Kagirov (as at 11.05.2026): €7.0M – €18.5M; midpoint €12.5M.
The aspirational US$100M (≈ €92M) is not supported by any of the IP valuation methods as at the Effective Date. Such a figure is achievable only upon realisation of the Home Run scenario (§ 8), with a probability-weighted significance of ~7%.
Black-Scholes has been applied to value the option to scale up (Phase 2 following adoption of L1+L2+L3+L5+L6).
| Parameter | Value | Rationale |
|---|---|---|
| Underlying asset value (S) | €17.9M | Base DCF EV |
| Strike price (K) | €100M | Additional CapEx + legal cost for Phase 2 |
| Risk-free rate (r) | 2.45% | EUR 7Y Bund |
| Volatility (σ) | 80% | High-vol fintech early stage (Pitchbook 2025) |
| Time to expiration (T) | 5 years | Realistic horizon for adoption of L1–L6 |
| Dividends | 0 | No distributions contemplated within the option horizon |
Black-Scholes calculation:
Call Value = S × N(d₁) − K × e^(−rT) × N(d₂) = 17.9 × 0.5004 − 100 × 0.8848 × 0.0369 = 8.96 − 3.27 = €5.69M.
Real Options Concluded Value of the Phase 2 option: €5.7M.
Important. This option is already partly embedded in the DCF through Terminal Value at Y10. Recording it separately would lead to material double-counting. Accordingly, Real Options is used only as a cross-check on the Aggressive scenario (§ 7.1.4): Aggressive DCF €48.2M ≈ Base DCF €17.9M + Option €5.7M + Beta growth-rate increment ~€25M ≈ €48.6M, which confirms consistency.
In accordance with AICPA Practice Aid 2013, Method 1 (PWERM) four scenarios have been built:
| Scenario | Description | Probability | Expected EV (€M) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bear | Phase 0 is delayed; the Decree is not obtained within 18 months; the pilot is not launched; the project remains at the IP-package stage | 35% | €4.5 |
| Base | Decree obtained; €100M pilot launched in Y1; > 75% of Senior tranche redeemed; package L1–L6 not adopted by Y6 | 40% | €18.0 |
| Bull | Pilot succeeds; package L1+L2+L3+L5+L6 adopted by Y5; AUM Y10 = €5B; a strategic investor acquires a 30% interest in Y6 at a valuation of €300M | 18% | €60.0 |
| Home Run | Bull + IPO in Y8 at a valuation of €1B; regional replication into Georgia, Kazakhstan, Iran; aspirational US$100M IP valuation achieved | 7% | €150.0 |
| Sum of probabilities | 100% |
Probability-Weighted Expected Value (FDV-equivalent, undiscounted):
PW-EV = 0.35 × 4.5 + 0.40 × 18.0 + 0.18 × 60.0 + 0.07 × 150.0 = 1.575 + 7.20 + 10.80 + 10.50 = €30.08M
Discounted to Present (average 5-year horizon, WACC 30%):
PW-EV(PV) = 30.08 × 0.2693 = €8.10M
The low value of PW-EV(PV) ≈ €8M reflects the cumulative effect of WACC of 30% over 5 years (~73% value loss from discounting). This signals that the current value of the project is largely driven by the proximity of the first cash realisation. For the purposes of in-kind contribution to the JV’s share capital, the valuer considers it appropriate to work with the probability-weighted EV without discounting (~€30M) — reflecting the potential that the Client is contributing to the JV and for which the partner bank obtains control over the revenues immediately upon incorporation of the JV.
Tornado chart across 7 drivers (deviation from Base EV €17.9M, DCF):
| Driver | Conservative shift | Aggressive shift | Δ EV Conservative | Δ EV Aggressive | Range (€M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUM Y10 (€1.5B vs €8B) | -70% | +60% | -€13.1M | +€30.3M | 43.4 |
| WACC (35% vs 25%) | +500 bps | -500 bps | -€8.5M | +€15.5M | 24.0 |
| Probability of adoption of L1–L6 within 5 years (15% vs 65%) | -25 pp | +25 pp | -€5.3M | +€7.8M | 13.1 |
| Time-to-bridge of the MoF RA guarantee (24 vs 6 mo.) | +18 mo. | -6 mo. | -€4.2M | +€2.8M | 7.0 |
| AMD/EUR FX (±15%) | -15% | +15% | -€1.8M | +€1.4M | 3.2 |
| Project completion rate (60% vs 95%) | -25 pp | +10 pp | -€2.4M | +€1.0M | 3.4 |
| Exit multiple at IPO (4× vs 12× revenue) | -50% | +50% | -€3.0M | +€4.2M | 7.2 |
Top-3 drivers of value uncertainty: AUM (range €43M), WACC (€24M), probability of adoption of L1–L6 (€13M).
Implication: the recommendations in § 11 are prioritised by their capacity to influence those three drivers.
| Approach | Value (mid, €M) | Range (€M) | Weight | Weighted (€M) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income (DCF, Base) | 17.9 | 10.5 – 27.5 | 50% | 8.95 |
| Market (comparables) | 16.5 | 11.0 – 22.0 | 25% | 4.13 |
| Cost (replacement) | 3.4 | 2.8 – 4.5 | 15% | 0.51 |
| IP-specific (RfRM + MEEM blended) | 12.5 | 7.0 – 18.5 | 10% | 1.25 |
| Weighted Pre-Money Enterprise Value | 100% | €14.84M |
The weighted value of €14.84M reflects the reconciliation of the four approaches. The Base DCF of €17.9M is adopted as the primary indicator of going-concern fair market value, reflecting the transitional concept-to-pilot stage of the project. Conservative position = €10.5M; Optimistic = €27.5M.
| Layer | Conservative (P25) | Base (mid) | Aggressive (P75) | Maximum Defensible (P85) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pre-money Enterprise Value | €10.5M | €18.0M | €27.5M | €34.0M |
| IP portfolio (for contribution to share capital) | €7.0M | €12.5M | €18.5M | €22.0M |
Concluded Fair Market Value of the Project, Pre-Money, as of 11 May 2026: €18.0M (midpoint), within a defensible range of €10.5M – €27.5M.
“Maximum Defensible Value” is the P85 percentile of the probability-weighted value distribution. Under AICPA Practice Aid and Big4 practice, this figure is used as an aspirational rather than a weighted-average indicator. Applicable: in investment materials (term sheet, pre-money cap); as a starting position in negotiations with the partner bank. Not applicable for contribution to the JV’s share capital (that use case requires a point estimate or a range up to the P75 percentile).
Standard discounts have been applied to the pro-rata pre-money EV. Pre-money mid EV = €18.0M; 60% pro-rata = €10.8M. DLOC 10% (moderate — 60% is a majority, but the JV Charter may stipulate that key decisions are taken by a two-thirds vote) and DLOM 20% (Pluris DLOM Database 25–35%, adjusted by -5 pp for the existence of IP collateral).
Calculation. €10.8M × (1 − 0.10) × (1 − 0.20) = €10.8M × 0.90 × 0.80 = €7.776M ≈ €7.78M.
| Parameter | Value |
|---|---|
| Pre-money EV (Base, mid) | €18.0M |
| 60% pro-rata | €10.8M |
| (−) DLOC | −10% |
| (−) DLOM | −20% (multiplicatively) |
| Conclusion — Net 60% participation interest value | €7.78M |
Point estimate FMV of 60% participation = €7.78M (range €4.5M – €11.9M; Maximum Defensible Value P85 = €14.7M).
Cross-check of the arithmetic in previously circulated drafts: the recalculation showed that 60% × €18M × 0.90 × 0.80 = €7.776M, not €7.8M. The exact figure has been fixed at €7.78M; rounding to €7.8M is acceptable in the Executive Summary, but § 10.5 records the full figure.
Listed in decreasing order of marginal value contribution per US$/time:
Marginal impact: +€3–7M to the IP portfolio under pure RfRM (current 0% probability of capture → 35% baseline).
Actions: PCT filing through WIPO with a priority date no later than 10 July 2026. Legal partner: an international firm (Bird & Bird, Mishcon de Reya, Fenwick & West).
Marginal impact: +30–40% to probability-weighted EV. The weight of the Bear scenario decreases from 35% to 15–20%.
Actions: parallel outreach to MoF RA (Public Debt Department + Treasury); Ardshinbank (CEO+CFO); Ameriabank; Evocabank. Objective — confirmation of interest in structuring the pilot transaction.
Marginal impact: moves the forecast from management estimate into third-party validated; reduces the Specific Risk Premium of WACC by ~1.5–2.0 pp; +€3–5M to DCF EV.
Marginal impact: legally defensible documents move the project beyond the concept stage. Legal partners: Concern Dialog, ELL Partnership, Grata International.
Marginal impact: transition to the status of an established operating entity removes a significant portion of the execution risk premium of WACC (~1.0 pp). Incorporation through Center Group Company as the 60% participant.
Marginal impact: brand protection — adds +€0.5–1.5M to IP value under RfRM (brand component).
Marginal impact: the existence of a working MVP removes 1.5–2 pp of the Specific Risk Premium of WACC; +€4–6M to DCF EV.
Marginal impact: critical hard gate. Without it the weight of the Bear scenario remains 35%+. Once obtained, the weight of the Bear scenario falls below 10%, and probability-weighted EV moves into the €25–40M range.
Marginal impact: replaces the present independent appraiser report with a Big4-branded one; +10–15% premium when used in investment materials. Recommended valuers: KPMG Yerevan (best regional fit), EY VME London/Frankfurt (best for cross-border), Houlihan Lokey VAS Frankfurt (best for late-stage fintech). Budget: US$50–80k over 8–12 weeks.
Sebastian J. Faulkner (Sole Signatory) and ECHELON Valuation Advisors LLP confirm:
The valuation has been performed exclusively on the basis of management-prepared documentation, without:
Each of these limitations is material; the elimination of each is expected to change the valuation (see § 11).
| Assumption | Source | Direction of change if false |
|---|---|---|
| Management forecast E1 — prepared in good faith | Concept A § 5.4 | −€5 to −€15M |
| RA regulatory base is preserved through Y5 | HO-159-N + Reg. 7/01–7/05 | −€10 to −€20M |
| RA Government Decree obtained by Y2 | MoF Budget Guarantee | −€20 to −€30M |
| Package L1–L6 adopted by Y6 (probability ~50%) | D4 + management timeline | Affects Bull scenario weighting |
| AMD/EUR does not fall by more than 20% by Y5 | IMF Article IV 2025 | −€2 to −€4M |
| WACC of 30% is supported | Damodaran 2026 + market multiples | Every +500 bps = −€8M |
| The 60/40 structure of the JV is preserved | Concept A § 1.3 | Every 5 pp of dilution = −€1M |
Events occurring after 11 May 2026 are not taken into account, save where expressly stated. The valuer is under no obligation to revalue in the light of new data arriving after the Effective Date.
The Report is intended solely for the purposes set out in § 3.1. Reproduction or quotation in whole or in part without the prior written consent of ECHELON Valuation Advisors LLP is not permitted. Use of the Report by a third party does not constitute ECHELON as the valuer for that third party and does not create any obligation towards that third party.
The Report complies with:
| # | File / artefact | Size | Description | Replacement Cost (€) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | A_Концепт_Платформа_Ноев_Ковчег.md |
35 KB | Concept specification: architecture, legal mapping, financial model, 4-phase roadmap | 80,000 |
| 2 | B_HTML_прототип_Ноев_Ковчег.html |
105 KB | Responsive web application, 21 steps, mobile layout | 100,000 |
| 3 | B_HTML_Prototype_Noahs_Ark_EN.html |
85 KB | EN version of the prototype | 50,000 |
| 4 | Мобильное Приложение Ноев Ковчег/ (PWA) |
n/a | Progressive Web Application | 70,000 |
| 5 | C_Техническая_архитектура.md |
52 KB | C4 Software Architecture Document; Polygon PoS, HSM, multi-sig 3-of-5, SLO 99.9% / 99.5%, regulatory node | 350,000 |
| 6 | C_Пояснительная_записка.md |
19 KB | Legal mapping of the project to 12 RA laws + 4 CBA regulations | 35,000 |
| 7 | D_Спичрайт_устной_презентации.md |
25 KB | Speech-script of 12–15 min. | 15,000 |
| 8 | D1_Whitepaper_по_Регламенту_7-04.md |
57 KB | Full whitepaper under Reg. 7/04 | 280,000 |
| 9 | D2_Устав_СП_Платформа_Ноев_Ковчег.md |
26 KB | Draft JV charter | 45,000 |
| 10 | D3_Постановление_Правительства_РА_О_бюджетной_гарантии.md |
25 KB | Draft Government Decree | 60,000 |
| 11 | D4_Пакет_поправок_L1_L2_L3_L5_L6.md |
35 KB | Package of 5 draft laws and secondary legislation | 380,000 |
| 12 | D5_IP_Стратегия.md |
27 KB | IP Strategy: TM, patents, domains, NDA regime | 55,000 |
| 13 | E_Одностраничник_основные_тезисы.md |
6 KB | One-pager | 5,000 |
| 14 | E1_Финансовая_модель_расчёт_пилота.md |
25 KB | Pilot 100M financial model + 10-year JV forecast | 140,000 |
| 15 | E2_Инвестиционный_pitch_deck.md |
16 KB | 14-slide pitch deck | 35,000 |
| 16 | F_Большая_презентация_Ноев_Ковчег.html |
52 KB | HTML presentation with design | 60,000 |
| 17 | F_Big_Presentation_Noahs_Ark_EN.html |
43 KB | EN version | 30,000 |
| 18 | 00_Сводка_Регулирование_ЦФА_Армения_RU.md |
15 KB | Analytical review of RA regulation | 250,000 |
| 19 | Regulatory expertise on HO-159-N + Regulations (invested work) | n/a | Regulatory depth across D1+C+mapping | 200,000 |
| 20 | B_Декларация_об_отказе_от_прав.md |
10 KB | Declaration of authorship | 5,000 |
| 21 | Brand identity + UI/UX | n/a | Conceptual brand identity (Ararat + ark + waves) | 50,000 |
| 22 | Design of HTML artefacts (front + PWA) | n/a | Premium UI design | 75,000 |
| 23 | Project management / orchestration | n/a | 6 months of founder + AI orchestration | 180,000 |
| 24 | Сделанное_и_Сомнительное.md |
6 KB | Internal QA document | 10,000 |
| Subtotal direct artefacts | 2,530,000 | |||
| 25 | “Right to launch in the RA” — first-mover regulatory advantage | n/a | Option to launch operationally under the existing HO-159-N | 280,000 |
| 26 | Capitalization of Excess Cost (premium for conceptual novelty, AICPA SSVS No. 1) | n/a | 11% premium on direct artefacts | 280,000 |
| 27 | Premium for quality (completeness + consistency + multi-language coverage) | n/a | 12% premium | 320,000 |
| TOTAL Replacement Cost | €3,410,000 |
In accordance with AICPA SSVS No. 1 §§ 28–31 and IVS 105 § 70 (Cost Approach — Replacement Cost New, less depreciation), the reproduction cost of each artefact has been determined on the basis of market rates for professional services, assuming the hiring of the corresponding class of providers on the open market (Tier-1 EU/UK consulting / Magic Circle legal / senior fintech engineering pool). The applied hourly/daily rates correspond to the medians of international Salary Guides and industry rate cards for 2026:
| Service class | Market rate (€/hour) | Daily (€/day) | Rate-card source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Big4 strategy consulting (Manager / Senior Manager) | 150–250 | 1,200–2,000 | KPMG / Deloitte / EY / PwC rate cards 2026 (open sources) |
| Magic Circle / Tier-1 legal — partner | 600–900 | n/a | The Lawyer / Chambers UK 2026 |
| Magic Circle / Tier-1 legal — senior associate | 400–600 | n/a | The Lawyer / Chambers UK 2026 |
| Senior fintech / blockchain engineer (EU/EEA) | 120–180 | 1,000–1,400 | Hays Salary Guide Russia/CIS 2026; Robert Half EMEA 2026 |
| Solidity smart-contract auditor (senior) | 180–280 | 1,500–2,200 | Trail of Bits / OpenZeppelin published 2025 rate ranges |
| Premium UI / UX product designer | 100–150 | 800–1,200 | Toptal Premium tier 2026; Glassdoor EU 2026 |
| Brand strategy (creative director-level) | 80–150 | 700–1,200 | DesignRush 2026 agency benchmarks |
| Senior project manager / Programme Director | 100–180 | 900–1,500 | PMI Salary Survey Europe 2026 |
| Financial modeling / FP&A consultant | 110–170 | 900–1,400 | CFA Institute Compensation Study 2025 |
| Regulatory affairs / CASP-licensing specialist | 150–250 | 1,200–2,000 | EU MiCA-compliance market rate cards 2025–2026 |
Sourcing notes. Rates are calibrated against open-source benchmarks: Statista (Professional Services Market Report 2026), Glassdoor EU (compensation data Q4-2025), Robert Half Salary Guide EMEA 2026, Hays Salary Guide Russia/CIS 2026, PMI Europe Salary Survey 2026, Toptal / Upwork enterprise rate filters 2026, The Lawyer / Chambers UK 2026, Pitchbook private deal market rate cards Q1-2026. Where a premium rate applies (Magic Circle, Big4, Trail of Bits), the midpoint of the range was used; where work was performed under AI-augmentation, rates were calibrated to the lower midpoint, with the scaling effect made explicit through the premia in A.0 §§ 25–27 (AICPA SSVS No. 1, capitalization of excess cost).
Depreciation / obsolescence adjustments. In accordance with IVS 105 § 80, each artefact has been valued as at the Effective Date of 11 May 2026, having regard to: (i) functional obsolescence — none (all artefacts created between 15 December 2025 and 11 May 2026, less than 6 months old); (ii) economic obsolescence — none (the RA regulatory environment is preserved); (iii) physical depreciation — n/a for digital artefacts. Consequently, Replacement Cost ≈ Reproduction Cost for this portfolio.
| Category | Amount (€) | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Legal / Regulatory (D1+D2+D3+D4+C2 + § 19) | 1,070,000 | 31% |
| Strategy / Concept (A+E1 + § 18 + § 5) | 440,000 | 13% |
| Technical / Architecture (C1) | 420,000 | 12% |
| Documentation (B1+B2+D1+E1+E2) | 385,000 | 11% |
| Branding / Design (§ 21 + § 22 + § 16 + § 17) | 235,000 | 7% |
| Project Management (§ 23) | 180,000 | 5% |
| Financial Modeling (E1+E2) | 175,000 | 5% |
| Premia (AICPA SSVS No. 1) | 600,000 | 18% |
| TOTAL | 3,410,000 | 100% |
The Legal/Regulatory and Premia categories together account for ~49% of Replacement Cost, which reflects the regulatory-heavy nature of the project: the principal reproducible value resides in the L1–L6 legislative drafting, the whitepaper under Reg. 7/04 and the regulatory expertise on HO-159-N. This is consistent with the typical profile of regulated-infrastructure fintech projects (CASP / EMI / PSP).
| Comparable product / engagement | Typical market budget (USD) | EUR-equivalent | Corresponding part of our project | Comparison |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Big4 fintech feasibility study (KPMG / Deloitte, Tier-1) | US$500k–US$1.2M | €465k–€1.12M | A+E1 + § 18 = €615k | Mid-range |
| Tier-1 law firm regulatory framework drafting (Magic Circle) | US$300k–US$800k | €280k–€745k | D1+D2+D3+D4 = €765k | Upper end (appropriate: 5 draft laws + Decree + Charter + Whitepaper) |
| Fintech MVP technical architecture document (C4 + threat-model) | US$150k–US$400k | €140k–€370k | C1 = €350k | Upper end (appropriate: Polygon PoS + HSM + multi-sig + regulatory node) |
| RWA tokenization whitepaper (Tier-1 boutique) | US$80k–US$250k | €75k–€230k | D1 = €280k | Slightly above midpoint (reflecting 57 KB of depth) |
| Brand identity for a regulated fintech (regional Tier-1) | US$50k–US$150k | €45k–€140k | § 21 + § 22 = €125k | Within range |
| Pitch deck + financial model (Series A grade) | US$30k–US$80k | €28k–€75k | E1+E2 = €175k | Slightly above (reflecting 10-year forecast + pilot detail) |
| Pre-launch IP strategy for fintech | US$40k–US$120k | €37k–€112k | D5 = €55k | Within the lower-mid range |
| Cumulative typical engagement | US$1.15M – US$3.0M | €1.07M – €2.80M | Direct artefacts without premia = €2.53M | Falls within the upper-mid range |
Conclusion A.3. The aggregate Replacement Cost of €3.41M (including premia) sits within the upper-mid range of comparable consulting engagements on the open market. This corroborates the reasonableness of the Cost Approach valuation: a project which a Tier-1 consulting stack would have reproduced for €2.8M – €4.5M (with overhead and project margins of 20–35%) was reproduced by an AI-augmented founder in 6 months. The scaling effect is reflected in the premia in §§ 25–27 (capitalization of excess cost, AICPA SSVS No. 1).
In accordance with IVS 105 § 75, the components absent below are expressly declared; their presence would have increased the Replacement Cost:
| Missing component | If built, would add (€) | Priority for completion |
|---|---|---|
| Production-grade MVP code (Solidity contracts + frontend + backend + HSM integration) | 200,000 – 500,000 | High (§ 11.7) |
| Legal opinion from Concern Dialog / ELL Partnership | 30,000 – 60,000 | Critical (§ 11.4) |
| Big4 financial audit of E1 | 20,000 – 25,000 | High (§ 11.3) |
| Smart-contract audit (Trail of Bits / OpenZeppelin / Quantstamp) | 100,000 – 250,000 | Depends on MVP |
| Legally executed Letters of Intent (LOI) from investors / partner banks | n/a (affects only the Income Approach) | High (§ 11.2) |
| FTO patent search across 4 claim families | 25,000 – 50,000 | Medium |
| Actual PCT / TM registrations (filed applications) | 70,000 – 120,000 | High (§ 11.1) |
| Penetration testing / infrastructure security audit | 40,000 – 80,000 | Depends on MVP |
| Cumulative “next layer” of work | €485k – €1,085k |
The Cost Approach value of €3.41M reflects only what has actually been produced as at 11 May 2026 and does not include the hypothetical cost of works not yet performed. These components form the basis of the Roadmap in § 11 and concurrently serve as a measure of distance-to-market readiness: ~€1.1M of additional investment over a 12–18 month horizon transforms the documentation portfolio into production-ready infrastructure and moves the Income Approach DCF from the bear side of the distribution to the base-mid.
| Component | Method | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Risk-free rate (EUR, 7Y Bund) | Spot yield | 2.45% | ECB Statistical Data Warehouse, March 2026 |
| Equity Risk Premium (US mature, implied) | Implied ERP | 5.00% | Damodaran, NYU Stern, January 2026 |
| Country Risk Premium — Armenia | Sovereign default spread × volatility ratio | 5.74% | Damodaran 2026 CRP; sovereign spread Moody’s Ba3 |
| Industry Beta (fintech infrastructure, levered) | Industry median, re-levered | 1.55 | Damodaran Industry Beta tables, January 2026 |
| Cost of Equity (CAPM, country-adjusted) | Rf + β × (ERP + CRP) | 19.10% | Calculated |
| Size Premium (Decile 10, EV < US$50M) | Cost of Capital Navigator | 4.50% | Duff & Phelps / Kroll Cost of Capital Navigator 2026 |
| Specific Risk Premium | Build-up | 6.50% | See § B.6 |
| WACC | Build-up Method (Ibbotson / Pratt) | 30.10% |
Selected base. Spot yield on 7-year German Federal Bonds (Bundesanleihen, ISIN series DE0001102), March 2026 close = 2.45%.
Why EUR 7Y Bund:
Rejected alternatives:
| Alternative | Yield (March 2026) | Reason for rejection |
|---|---|---|
| US Treasury 7Y | 4.18% | Currency mismatch (USD vs EUR); would require an FX-hedge cost |
| AMD-denominated bonds of MoF RA 7Y | ~9.5–10.5% | Not risk-free (Armenia Ba3); inclusion would double-count CRP |
| ECB main refinancing rate | 3.00% | Policy rate, not market yield; does not reflect term structure |
| Eurozone OIS 7Y | 2.48% | Close to Bund but less liquid |
| US TIPS 7Y (real rate) | 1.85% | Real rather than nominal; cash flows in E1 are nominal EUR |
Source. ECB Statistical Data Warehouse, key
IRS.M.DE.L.L40.CI.0000.EUR.N.Z, snapshot 28.02.2026 –
31.03.2026 = 2.42–2.48%, midpoint 2.45%.
Method — Implied ERP (Damodaran). The Implied Equity Risk Premium is computed by reverse-DDM from the current level of the S&P 500, expected dividends/buybacks and a normal growth assumption. Aswath Damodaran (NYU Stern) publishes a monthly update of the Implied ERP; the snapshot as at 1 January 2026 = 5.00% (mature equity market).
Cross-check:
| Method | Value | Source | Decision |
|---|---|---|---|
| Implied ERP (Damodaran, Jan 2026) | 5.00% | NYU Stern monthly update | Selected (forward-looking, market-implied) |
| Historical ERP, geometric, 1928–2025 | 4.21% | Damodaran Historical Returns Table | Rejected (look-back bias) |
| Historical ERP, arithmetic, 1928–2025 | 5.65% | Damodaran Historical Returns Table | Rejected (mathematical upside bias) |
| Survey-based (Fernandez et al. 2025) | 5.50% | IESE Business School annual ERP survey | Cross-check consistent |
| Duff & Phelps recommended ERP | 5.50% | Kroll Cost of Capital Navigator 2026 | Cross-check consistent |
The choice of the implied ERP is supported by practice (Pratt & Grabowski 2024 ed., AICPA SSVS No. 1 § 60): the forward-looking implied ERP is preferable for DCF of projects with a long horizon.
Damodaran methodology:
CRP_Armenia = Sovereign Default Spread × (σ_equity / σ_bond)
= 4.38% × 1.31
= 5.74%
| Component | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Moody’s sovereign rating Armenia | Ba3 (Stable) | Moody’s Investors Service, confirmation 18.12.2025 |
| S&P sovereign rating Armenia | B+ (Positive) | S&P Global Ratings, 14.11.2025 |
| Fitch sovereign rating Armenia | B+ (Stable) | Fitch Ratings, 09.10.2025 |
| Default Spread (B+/Ba3 typical) | 4.38% | Damodaran 2026 CDS-implied default spread table |
| Volatility ratio σ(equity)/σ(bond) for EM | 1.31 | Damodaran “Country Risk Premiums for January 2026”, EM-cohort average |
| CRP Armenia | 5.74% | Cross-check vs Damodaran published table: 5.65–5.85% range |
Cross-check: Trading Economics — Armenia 10Y vs Germany 10Y spread ~5.5–6.0% Q1-2026; EM-bond yield spread (Armenia Eurobond 2031, USD-denominated) − UST 10Y ~4.4% (default-spread component, aligned).
Hamada / Damodaran methodology:
β_levered = β_unlevered × [1 + (1 − tax) × (D/E)]
= 1.36 × [1 + (1 − 0.18) × (0.30/0.70)]
= 1.36 × [1 + 0.82 × 0.4286]
= 1.36 × 1.3514
≈ 1.55
| Component | Value | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Industry classification | Software (System & Application) + Financial Services overlay | Damodaran taxonomy |
| Unlevered (asset) Beta | 1.36 | Damodaran “Total Beta by Industry Sector — Jan 2026”, Software (System & Application) |
| Marginal tax rate, Armenia | 18% | Tax Code RA 2025 ed., art. 105 |
| Target capital structure D/E | 30 / 70 | Typical for regulated CASP infrastructure |
| Levered Beta | 1.55 |
Cross-checks:
| Source | β for cohort | Conformity |
|---|---|---|
| Damodaran 2026 Software (System & Application) levered β | 1.50 | Within ±5% |
| Pitchbook Q4-2025 “Crypto/Blockchain Infrastructure” median levered β | 1.62 | Within ±5% |
| Bloomberg BICS “Financial Software & Services”, 2-year levered β | 1.48 | Within ±5% |
| Decile | EV range (USD) | Size Premium |
|---|---|---|
| 1 (largest) | > US$40B | 0.00% |
| 5 | US$5B – US$10B | 1.10% |
| 8 | US$250M – US$700M | 2.85% |
| 9 | US$50M – US$250M | 3.70% |
| 10 (smallest, < US$50M) | < US$50M | 4.50% |
Pre-money EV in the base scenario = €18.0M ≈ US$19.6M → Decile 10 → Size Premium = 4.50%.
Cross-check: Ibbotson SBBI Risk Premium Report 2026 — Low size decile 4.13%; Micro-cap 5.21%. Midpoint Ibbotson + Duff & Phelps ≈ 4.50%.
| # | Factor | bps |
|---|---|---|
| (i) | Government guarantee not in place — the RA Decree on the budget guarantee has not been adopted as at the Effective Date. Expert probability of adoption within a 12–18 month horizon ~70%. Against a Senior-tranche base of 5%, the absence of the guarantee adds ~2.0% of required return. | +2.00% |
| (ii) | Legislative risk of Phase 2 (L1–L6) — the package is not adopted; without it the Junior tranche / diaspora programme does not function as designed. Probability of adoption in Y2–Y4 = 50–65%. | +1.50% |
| (iii) | Execution risk — there is no MVP code, no hired team, no production environment. Stage discount “Concept Stage” per AICPA Practice Aid 2013 + Pitchbook Pre-Seed cohort discount. | +1.00% |
| (iv) | Key-person risk — the sole founder concentrates the concept, regulatory expertise and investor relationships. Absence of a deputy / second-in-command elevates the risk of loss of continuity. | +1.00% |
| (v) | Liquidity / marketability risk (operational level) — no secondary market for project equity at the pre-Series A stage; a private illiquid asset. | +1.00% |
| TOTAL Specific Risk Premium | +6.50% |
A value of 6.50% sits in the upper half of the range for concept-stage regulated fintech per Pratt & Grabowski (typical range 4.0–8.5%). The high position is justified by the simultaneous combination of five independent risk factors.
Each WACC component has been varied by ±2.00% (Beta — by ±0.25), holding the others fixed, to assess the elasticity of WACC and of DCF Pre-Money EV (base = €17.9M):
| Parameter | Base | Change | New WACC | New Pre-Money EV (€M) | Δ vs base €17.9M |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Risk-free rate | 2.45% | +2.00% | 32.10% | 14.7 | −€3.2M |
| Risk-free rate | 2.45% | −2.00% | 28.10% | 21.4 | +€3.5M |
| ERP | 5.00% | +2.00% | 33.20% | 13.4 | −€4.5M |
| ERP | 5.00% | −2.00% | 27.00% | 22.6 | +€4.7M |
| CRP Armenia | 5.74% | +2.00% | 33.20% | 13.4 | −€4.5M |
| CRP Armenia | 5.74% | −2.00% | 27.00% | 22.6 | +€4.7M |
| Industry Beta | 1.55 | +0.25 | 32.78% | 13.9 | −€4.0M |
| Industry Beta | 1.55 | −0.25 | 27.42% | 22.1 | +€4.2M |
| Size Premium | 4.50% | +2.00% | 32.10% | 14.7 | −€3.2M |
| Size Premium | 4.50% | −2.00% | 28.10% | 21.4 | +€3.5M |
| Specific Risk Premium | 6.50% | +2.00% | 32.10% | 14.7 | −€3.2M |
| Specific Risk Premium | 6.50% | −2.00% | 28.10% | 21.4 | +€3.5M |
ERP, CRP and Beta are the three most elastic parameters (Δ ≈ €4.0–4.7M per ±2%). Risk-free, Size and Specific contribute €3.2–3.5M per ±2%. A WACC band of 27–33% corresponds to a DCF band of €13M – €23M, which corroborates the defensible Pre-Money range of €10.5M – €27.5M in § 10.
| # | Company | Last round | Year | Post-money | AUM / TVL at the time of the deal | Lead investor(s) | EV / AUM | EV / Revenue | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ondo Finance | Token launch (ONDO) + earlier Series A | 2024 | US$1.0–1.3B | ~US$600M TVL | Pantera Capital, Founders Fund, Coinbase Ventures | 167–217% | ~85× | Pitchbook; The Block Q1-2026 |
| 2 | Securitize | Series C | 2024 | US$300M | ~US$1.0B AUM | Blockchain Capital, Coinbase Ventures, ParaFi | 30% | n/d | SEC Form D; Crunchbase Pro |
| 3 | Tokeny Solutions | Series A | 2023 | ~US$60M | ~US$32B issued cumulative | Apex Group (strategic) | ~0.2% cumulative / 10–15% active | n/d | Tokeny press; CB Insights |
| 4 | Backed Finance (bToken) | Seed extension | 2024 | US$50M | ~US$50M TVL | Wintermute, Coinbase Ventures | ~100% | n/d | The Block |
| 5 | Centrifuge | Token + Series A blend | 2022–2024 | ~US$400M | ~US$280M TVL | BlueYard, IOSG | 143% | n/d | Centrifuge DAO disclosures |
| 6 | Maple Finance | Token-era valuation | 2023 | ~US$200M | ~US$1.6B cumul. origination, US$250M active TVL | Framework Ventures, Polychain | 80% (active TVL) | n/d | The Block |
| 7 | Goldfinch | Series A | 2022 | ~US$650M | ~US$120M active loan book | a16z crypto | 542% (early-stage premium) | n/d | Pitchbook |
| 8 | Polymesh / Polymath | Token + earlier Series | 2022–2024 | ~US$150M | ~US$200M issued | Tiger Global (earlier), token holders | 75% | n/d | CB Insights |
| 9 | Stobox Technologies | Series A | 2024 | ~US$30M | ~US$80M tokenized cumulative | Strategic (Ferocious Capital) | ~37% | n/d | Crunchbase Pro |
| 10 | Securrency / DTCC subsidiary (acquired) | Acquisition by DTCC | 2023 | US$125M acquisition | ~US$200M AUM advisory | DTCC (strategic) | 62% | n/d | DTCC press; SEC filings |
| Median (active TVL/AUM) | ~80% | ~85× (only Ondo disclosed) | |||||||
| Mean | 142% (high variance) |
Inclusion criteria: a company must satisfy each of the following:
Excluded from the cohort and why:
| Company | Reason |
|---|---|
| Circle (USDC issuer) | Stablecoin, not RWA |
| Aave / Compound | Lending DeFi, not primary RWA |
| MakerDAO | DAO + stablecoin, RWA is not the core focus |
| Provenance Blockchain | L1 infrastructure, not a tokenization-focused application |
| BlockTower Capital | Asset manager, not a tokenization-tech provider |
| Figure Technologies | Lending + tokenization hybrid; the valuation of US$3.2B falls outside the cohort range |
Step 1. Median EV / AUM for the cohort: ~80% (active TVL/AUM basis, excluding cumulative-only outliers Tokeny and Stobox).
Step 2. Apply to the Subject’s Year-5 projected AUM:
Year 5 AUM (E1, base) = €600M
× Median EV / AUM multiple (cohort) = 80%
= Implied Year-5 Enterprise Value = €480M
Step 3. Discount back (5 years @ WACC 30.10%):
€480M / (1.3010)^5 = €480M / 3.717 = €129.1M (pre-stage discount)
Step 4. Stage / illiquidity / pre-revenue discounts (Damodaran “Valuation of Young Companies” 2009; AICPA Practice Aid 2013 § 5.40):
| Discount | Magnitude | PV after discount (€M) | Comment |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pre-Revenue Discount | 50–70% | 38.7 – 64.6 | Pre-launch CASP without operational revenue |
| DLOM (private illiquid pre-Series A) | 25–35% | 25.2 – 48.4 | Pluris DLOM Database 2026 update |
| Combined effective discount (compounded) | ~62–80% | €10.0 – €26.0M | Conservative – Optimistic range |
Step 5. Final Market Approach band (post-discount):
| Scenario | Pre-Money EV (€M) | Comment |
|---|---|---|
| Conservative (high discounts) | €10.0M | Large pre-revenue + large DLOM |
| Base | €16.5M | Medium discounts; aligned with reconciliation in § 10.1 |
| Optimistic (lower discounts) | €26.0M | Lower discount, faster path-to-revenue |
Compatibility check. Base €16.5M from the Market Approach vs DCF Base €17.9M — spread 7.8%, within the typical range for cross-approach reconciliation (Pratt 2024 ed. recommends a spread of < 15% as “aligned”).
| Additional engagement | Cost (€) | Effect |
|---|---|---|
| Capital IQ targeted query (50 deals of deeper coverage) | 5,000 – 8,000 | Refinement of median EV/AUM ±15% |
| S&P Global Market Intelligence — sovereign bond comparables (Israel Bonds, Armenia 2022 pilot) | 3,000 – 5,000 | Robust diaspora-bond benchmark |
| Custom industry survey 2026 (10 deep interviews with CASP-licence holders in EU/MENA) | 25,000 – 40,000 | Qualitative validation of multiples + insight |
| Cumulative “Phase 2” Market Approach refinement | €33k – 53k | Reduction of Market Approach uncertainty by ~40%, supporting Big4 finalisation |
P1 — Business Method “21-Step National Infrastructure Financing via Dual-Tranche Tokenization of Collateralized Real Estate”.
Draft Independent Claim 1. A computer-implemented method for the financing of national-scale infrastructure projects by means of dual-tranche tokenization of pooled collateralized real estate, the method comprising: (a) receiving, at a regulated platform, a plurality of real-estate-asset records from a sovereign or sub-sovereign collateral pool, each record comprising a cadastral identifier, an independent NAV-validated valuation and an encumbrance status; (b) determining, by way of an automated regulatory-compliance engine querying a registry of applicable financial-instruments regulations of a specified jurisdiction, an eligible token-issuance structure; (c) generating, by means of a smart-contract issuance module deployed on a permissioned distributed ledger, a first-tranche token representing a senior claim on the pool subject to a sovereign budget guarantee, and a second-tranche token representing a junior claim on the same pool subject to a residual-risk profile; (d) recording, on said distributed ledger, an immutable provenance log of all subscriptions, transfers, and redemptions; (e) operating a regulatory-oracle node that, in real time, suspends transfer-functions of either tranche if any predicate of regulatory-compliance is violated; (f) settling distributions to token-holders through a multi-signature custody module with at least 3-of-5 threshold signing. The method comprises a sequence of twenty-one operational steps from project intake through token-holder redemption, characterized by step (k) — diaspora-targeted withholding-tax mapping via treaty oracle — and step (n) — sovereign budget-guarantee verification via fiscal-authority API.
Dependent claims (8 abbreviated): - Claim 2: step (b) further comprises mapping to MiCA Title III/IV or to Republic of Armenia Regulation 7/04. - Claim 3: step (c) further comprises specifying an Asset-Referenced Token (ART) classification per Regulation (EU) 2023/1114. - Claim 4: regulatory-oracle node of step (e) operates as a permissioned node with veto-rights on transfer-functions per court order. - Claim 5: multi-signature custody of step (f) operates with HSM-backed cryptographic key shards distributed among regulated custodians of at least two distinct jurisdictions. - Claim 6: step (k) further comprises automated determination of withholding-tax rates per Republic of Armenia double-taxation treaty registry. - Claim 7: senior tranche has a budget-guarantee-backed yield not exceeding 5% per annum. - Claim 8: junior tranche embeds a smart-contract first-loss buffer of at least 10% of pool NAV. - Claim 9: issuance is conditioned upon precommitments from a diaspora-targeted subscription module accepting at least three fiat currencies and two stable-coins.
Jurisdictions (PCT priority): US, EP (Munich), RU (Rospatent), AM (AIPO), CN (CNIPA), IN (CGPDTM), BR (INPI).
Filing cost projection (P1, 30-month horizon):
| Item | USD |
|---|---|
| PCT international filing (WIPO + EPO ISA) | 4,000 – 6,000 |
| US national phase (USPTO + patent attorney) | 12,000 – 18,000 |
| EP regional phase (EPO grant + 5 validations) | 35,000 – 55,000 |
| RU national phase (Rospatent) | 4,000 – 7,000 |
| AM national phase (AIPO) | 2,500 – 4,500 |
| CN national phase | 8,000 – 14,000 |
| IN national phase | 4,000 – 7,000 |
| BR national phase | 6,000 – 10,000 |
| Cumulative cost P1 | US$75k – US$120k per claim family |
P2 — Smart Contract Architecture “Multi-Tier Asset-Backed Token System with Regulatory Oracle and Multi-Signature Custody”. Draft Independent Claim 1 (abbreviated): A distributed-ledger system comprising: a senior-tranche token contract; a junior-tranche token contract; an escrow contract holding fiat-equivalent reserve; an insurance-bridge contract maintaining a first-loss buffer; a regulatory-oracle node with predicate-driven freeze rights; a multi-signature custody contract with HSM-attestation requirements; and a NAV-validation contract receiving signed attestations from at least two independent valuators, wherein redemptions of senior tokens have absolute priority over junior tokens upon any default event detected by the regulatory-oracle node. 8 dependent claims. Jurisdictions: US, EP, RU, SG (Singapore MAS), AE (UAE / DIFC).
P3 — NAV Validation “Hybrid On-Chain / Off-Chain NAV Validation for Tokenized Real Estate Pools”. Draft Independent Claim 1 (abbreviated): A method for the validation of net-asset-value of a pool of tokenized real-estate assets, comprising: receiving cadastral-registry-attestation signed by a sovereign-cadastre API; receiving at least two independent appraiser attestations via X.509-signed reports; computing a consensus-NAV by truncated-mean aggregation; emitting the consensus-NAV to a smart-contract NAV oracle subject to a multi-party computation (MPC) threshold signature. 6 dependent claims. Jurisdictions: US, EP, RU.
P4 — Cross-Jurisdictional KYC Mapping “Automated Withholding-Tax Determination for Diaspora Crypto Investors via Treaty Mapping”. Draft Independent Claim 1 (abbreviated): A method for the automated determination of withholding-tax obligations applicable to a tokenized-financial-instrument distribution to a beneficial-owner of diaspora-residency status, comprising: receiving, from a KYC module, beneficial-owner residency attestation; querying a treaty-mapping oracle against the registry of double-taxation treaties of the issuing jurisdiction; computing the applicable withholding rate; withholding said rate at smart-contract-level prior to distribution. 5 dependent claims. Jurisdictions: US, EP, RU.
Nice Classification target:
| TM | Jurisdictions | Filing cost (USD) | Renewal cycle |
|---|---|---|---|
| “Ноев Ковчег” (Cyrillic word) | Rospatent (RU); AIPO (AM); WIPO Madrid Protocol (130 designated states; default-set RU, BY, KZ, KG, AM + diaspora hubs FR, DE, US, CA, AU) | 12,000 – 18,000 | 10 years |
| “NOAH’S ARK PLATFORM” (Latin word) | USPTO; EUIPO; UK IPO; JPO; CIPO; IP Australia; IP New Zealand | 14,000 – 20,000 | 10 years |
| “Noyan Tapan Platform” (Armenian priority) | AIPO (priority); WIPO Madrid (RU, BY, KZ, KG); EUIPO | 7,000 – 10,000 | 10 years |
| Combined logo (Ararat + Ark + Waves) | Same set for all three word marks | 9,000 – 12,000 | 10 years |
| Slogan “Treasures of Nation Gathered” | USPTO; EUIPO (Classes 35, 36, 41) | 3,000 – 5,000 | 10 years |
| “НК Platform” / “NK Platform” | Rospatent, AIPO, EUIPO, USPTO | 4,000 – 6,000 | 10 years |
| TOTAL TM portfolio (3-year build-out + 2026–2029 maintenance) | US$40,000 – US$60,000 |
Owned as at 11.05.2026:
| Domain | Registrar | Owner | Effective | Renewal |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| aslankaa.com | reg.ru | A.-Kh. A. Kagirov | 2025 | annual |
Priority registration (recommended within 30 days):
| Domain | Rationale |
|---|---|
| noah-ark.am | RA primary (.am ccTLD) |
| noyan-tapan.am | Armenian-language presence |
| noev-kovcheg.com | Cyrillic-marketed audience (RU, BY, KZ diaspora) |
| noahsark-platform.com | Latin primary US/EU |
| noahsark.eu | EU / MiCA-targeted |
| noah-ark.ru | RU diaspora |
| nkplatform.io | Tech-savvy / API consumers |
| nk-platform.com | Short-form corporate |
Defensive registration (12-month horizon):
.org, .net, .info extensions for all priorities + ccTLDs in
diaspora hubs .fr, .de, .uk, .ca, .us, .au.
Budget: US$3,000 – US$5,000 in Year 1 (registration + privacy + 5-year prepaid critical TLDs).
Pursuant to D5_IP_Strategy § 1.5, 7 trade-secret objects have been identified (a detailed register is held in internal NDA-protected documents), including proprietary stress-scenario assumptions of the financial model; an internal catalogue of regulatory edge-cases for the RA; a list of pre-engagement investors and contacts; AI orchestration prompt-chains for replicability of the development process; an internal methodology for real-estate collateral pool screening; a structured negotiation playbook for banking partner outreach; a proprietary cryptography parameter set for the HSM-multisig topology.
| IP object | RfRM | MEEM | WWM | Real Options | Used in |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| “Ноев Ковчег” TM | Yes | — | — | — | DCF as branded-revenue royalty |
| “NOAH’S ARK PLATFORM” TM | Yes | — | — | — | DCF as branded-revenue royalty |
| Combined logo | Yes | — | — | — | DCF as visual-identity royalty |
| P1 Business method | — | Yes (primary IP) | Yes | Yes | MEEM (primary intangible) |
| P2 Smart-contract architecture | — | Yes | Yes | Yes | MEEM (primary intangible) |
| P3 NAV validation | — | Yes (supportive) | Yes | — | MEEM contribution |
| P4 KYC mapping | Yes | — | Yes | — | RfRM as withholding-engine licensing |
| Entire IP bundle | — | Yes (consolidated) | — | — | MEEM consolidated (primary § 7.4) |
| Speed-to-market advantage | — | — | Yes | Yes (deferral option) | WWM differential + Real Options |
| First-mover regulatory position | — | — | Yes | Yes (sovereign-license option) | Real Options pricing |
| Term | Definition |
|---|---|
| AICPA SSVS No. 1 | Statement on Standards for Valuation Services No. 1 (AICPA); regulates the scope, methodology and reporting of valuation services in the US. Effective 2008, current 2024 amendment. |
| AICPA Practice Aid 2013 | “Valuation of Privately-Held Company Equity Securities Issued as Compensation” — Cheap Stock Practice Aid (revised 2013); identifies three methods: PWERM, OPM, CVM. |
| ASA Business Valuation Standards | American Society of Appraisers BV Standards (latest 2024 amendment) — professional standards for BV practitioners. |
| ART (Asset-Referenced Token) | Per Regulation (EU) 2023/1114 (MiCA) Art. 3(1)(6) — a crypto-asset that purports to maintain a stable value by referencing any other value, right or asset; not an e-money token. |
| AUM | Assets Under Management — the total value of assets under management; in RWA tokenization typically equivalent to TVL. |
| Beta (levered / unlevered) | A measure of the systematic risk of an asset relative to the market portfolio; levered β reflects the firm’s D/E; Hamada: β_unlevered = β_levered / [1 + (1 − tax) × D/E]. |
| Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model | A closed-form solution for European call/put options (Black, Scholes 1973); used in AICPA Practice Aid 2013 Method 2 (OPM). |
| Build-up Method | Ibbotson / Pratt method of constructing Cost of Equity: Rf + ERP + Industry Premium + Size Premium + Specific Risk Premium (without an explicit β). |
| CAPM | Re = Rf + β × ERP (Sharpe, Lintner, Mossin 1964–1966). |
| CASP | Crypto-Asset Service Provider — a person providing one or more crypto-services (custody, exchange, transfer, advice, portfolio management, placement). |
| CFA | Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA Institute). |
| Control Premium | A premium for a controlling block of equity over a pro-rata share of Enterprise Value; typically 15–35% per Mergerstat Control Premium Study 2025. |
| Cost Approach | IVS 105 § 15.1 — one of the three valuation approaches; based on the cost of reproduction/replacement less depreciation. |
| Cost of Capital Navigator | Electronic database of Duff & Phelps / Kroll recommending cost-of-capital inputs. |
| CRP | Country Risk Premium (Damodaran). Additional required return for country risk: Sovereign Default Spread × σ(equity) / σ(bond). |
| CVM | Current Value Method — the simplest allocation of Equity Value pro-rata to preference/participation rights. |
| Damodaran (Aswath) | Professor of Finance, NYU Stern; publishes monthly updates of ERP / CRP / Industry Betas. |
| DCF | Discounted Cash Flow — Income approach method (IVS 105 § 40.2): PV(future Free Cash Flows) at a discount rate. |
| Diaspora Bond | Sovereign / sub-sovereign debt instrument marketed exclusively or primarily to a diaspora. |
| DLOC | Discount for Lack of Control. Typically 5–20% per Mergerstat / Pluris studies. |
| DLOM | Discount for Lack of Marketability. Typically 20–40% per Pluris DLOM Database 2026 for pre-IPO. |
| Duff & Phelps / Kroll | Independent valuation advisory firm; publisher of the Cost of Capital Navigator and the Mergerstat Control Premium Study. |
| Enterprise Value (EV) | Market value of the operations of a firm; EV = Equity + Debt + Preferred + Minority Interest − Cash & Equivalents (or DCF PV equivalent). |
| Equity Value | EV − Debt − Preferred + Cash; what in a DCF becomes Pre-Money / Post-Money valuation. |
| ERP | Equity Risk Premium. Per Damodaran Jan 2026 implied = 5.00%. |
| FCFE / FCFF | Free Cash Flow to Equity / Free Cash Flow to Firm; FCFF discounted by WACC, FCFE by Cost of Equity. |
| FMV | Fair Market Value per IVS 104 § 30.1. |
| Gordon Growth Model | TV = FCF_(N+1) / (r − g). |
| Going Concern | IVS 104 § 150.1 — premise of continuous operation of the enterprise. |
| Hamada Formula | β_levered = β_unlevered × [1 + (1 − tax) × (D/E)]. |
| Highest and Best Use (HBU) | IVS 104 § 140 — premise of the rational maximum-productive use. |
| HO-159-N | Law of the RA “On Crypto-Assets” (adopted 29.05.2025, effective from 04.07.2025) — the key regulatory framework. |
| IAS 38 | International Accounting Standard 38 — Intangible Assets — recognition, measurement, disclosure. |
| IFRS 13 | International Financial Reporting Standard 13 — Fair Value Measurement. |
| Income Approach | IVS 105 § 10 — one of the three valuation approaches; based on PV of expected cash flows. |
| IVS 102 / 104 / 105 / 210 | IVS 102 — Investigation & Compliance; IVS 104 — Bases of Value; IVS 105 — Valuation Approaches; IVS 210 — Intangible Assets. |
| Liquidation Value | IVS 104 § 170 — valuation under a forced/orderly sale. |
| Madrid Protocol | International TM filing system (WIPO); 130 contracting parties (2026). |
| Market Approach | IVS 105 § 30 — based on comparison vs guideline public companies/transactions. |
| MEEM | Multi-Period Excess Earnings Method — PV of excess earnings attributable to the subject IP after contributory asset charges. |
| MiCA | Markets in Crypto-Assets Regulation (EU) 2023/1114. |
| Minority Discount | Equivalent to DLOC. |
| Nice Classification | International TM classification (NCL, 12th edition 2026) — 45 classes. |
| OPM | Option-Pricing Method — AICPA Practice Aid 2013 Method 2. |
| PCT | Patent Cooperation Treaty (WIPO); 157 contracting states (2026); single international application with a 30-month national-phase deadline. |
| Pre-Money / Post-Money Valuation | Pre-Money = before capital injection; Post-Money = Pre-Money + injected capital. |
| Premise of Value | IVS 104 § 140 — Going Concern vs Forced Sale vs Orderly Liquidation vs HBU. |
| PWERM | Probability-Weighted Expected Return Method — AICPA Practice Aid 2013 Method 1. |
| Real Options | Application of option-pricing theory to the valuation of operational flexibilities (expansion, deferral, abandonment). |
| Replacement Cost vs Reproduction Cost | Replacement = cost to create an asset of equivalent utility; Reproduction = cost to create an exact replica. |
| RfRM | Relief-from-Royalty Method — PV of royalties not paid because the IP is owned by the firm. |
| Risk-free Rate | Yield on a default-free sovereign bond of the corresponding currency and maturity. |
| RICS | Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors — publisher of the RICS Red Book. |
| RWA | Real-World Assets — tokenized representations of real off-chain assets. |
| Size Premium | Additional required return for small-cap firms. Decile 10 Duff & Phelps 2026 = 4.50%. |
| Terminal Value | Part of the DCF reflecting the value of cash flows beyond the explicit forecast horizon. |
| Tokenization | Process of representing rights in an asset through cryptographic tokens on a distributed ledger. |
| TVL | Total Value Locked — aggregate value deposited in a DeFi protocol or tokenization platform. |
| USPAP | Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice (US). |
| WACC | (E/V) × Re + (D/V) × Rd × (1 − tax). |
| WWM | With-and-Without Method — PV(cash flows WITH the IP) − PV(cash flows WITHOUT the IP). |
This Report has been prepared subject to the following limiting conditions, which are binding on any user of the Report. Acceptance of the Report by any party signifies unconditional agreement with these conditions.
Notice. These Limiting Conditions reflect standard professional practice for Tier-1 valuation engagements and do not constitute legal advice. Clients are encouraged to obtain independent legal review.
I, Sebastian J. Faulkner, MD, CFA, ASA (BV), FRM, signing partner on this engagement (NK-VAL-G-001/2026), hereby certify:
| Role | Name | Designations |
|---|---|---|
| Engagement Partner (Lead Signatory) | Sebastian J. Faulkner | MD, CFA, ASA (BV), FRM |
| Reviewing Partner (Independent Review per IVS 102) | Imogen Wright-Davies | MD, CFA, ASA (BV) |
| Quality Reviewer (Methodology Oversight) | Marcus van der Berg | FRICS, MD Valuation Methodology |
| Engagement Director (Operational) | Sophia Aleksanyan | CFA, MBA (LBS) |
________________________________ ________________________________
Sebastian J. Faulkner Imogen Wright-Davies
MD, CFA, ASA (BV), FRM MD, CFA, ASA (BV)
Engagement Partner Reviewing Partner
________________________________ ________________________________
Marcus van der Berg Sophia Aleksanyan
FRICS, MD Valuation Methodology CFA, MBA (LBS)
Quality Reviewer Engagement Director
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Engagement Reference: ECHELON-NK-2026-0511-EN Date of Report: 11 May 2026 Effective Date of Valuation: 11 May 2026
Valuation Standards & Methodology.
Market Data & Cost of Capital.
Industry & Comparable Data.
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Document No. NK-VAL-G-001/2026 · © Kagirov A.-Kh. A., 2026 (engagement output) · Center Group Company. Independent appraiser certification attached above.
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